GECAFS Caribbean Scenarios Workshop 1
Kingston, Jamaica
1st - 3rd September 2005
Workshop Objectives
- Update participants on the latest GECAFS developments
- Familiarize participants with the concepts, purpose and methodology of scenarios/plausible futures development
- Discuss and agree on the main uncertainties for the region with respect to food systems and global environmental change developments
- Develop focal questions for the Caribbean GECAFS scenarios and begin the scenario development process
- Discuss and decide on scenario quantification
Acknowledgements
The meeting organisers gratefully acknowledge financial assistance from ICSU and UNESCO.
Programme
(Detailed timings and breaks have been deleted for this web report version)
Presentation: GECAFS overview, cross-scale methods and ICSU grant - John Ingram
Presentation: What are scenarios, why use them and which global scenarios GECAFS will be using? Role of the ICSU grant - Monika Zurek
Presentation: The GECAFS regional planning in the Caribbean to date - Adrian Trotman
Presentation: Major characteristics of Caribbean food systems: trade/imports; subsistence; nutrition - Sharon Hutchinson
Presentation: Global environmental change and the Caribbean - Tony Clayton
Presentation: The CARSEA assessment and its scenario exercise - Angela Cropper
Presentation: The global MA scenarios and their elements relevant to food systems and methods for linking global and regional scenarios - Monika Zurek
Tables that outline main assumptions and outcomes in global MA scenario storylines.
Presentation: Using scenarios to link to the communications / decision process- Greg Kiker
Workshop output:
What if? Discussion of uncertainty.
Development of four stories about the Caribbean up to 2050 & Next Steps.